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Iraq's forgotten crisis

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1Iraq's forgotten crisis Empty Iraq's forgotten crisis Sat Jul 18, 2009 6:47 pm

Roxy

Roxy

Iraq's forgotten crisis
Iraq's increasing environmental problems may destabilise the fragile security gains of the last two years

James Denselow guardian.co.uk, Saturday 18 July 2009 15.00 BST larger | smaller Article history

At the start of the month, the US vice-president Joe Biden visited Iraq unannounced to consolidate his position as Obama's Mesopotamia point-man. While the visit looked to back up the withdrawal of US troops from urban areas, his attempts to mediate worsening Irbil-Baghdad relations was impeded by a spate of sandstorms in the north of the country.

These are symptoms of a forgotten issue that may destabilise the fragile gains of the past two years. Indeed, while the history of post-invasion Iraq is a narrative largely composed of body counts, electoral milestones, torture scandals and troop numbers, a forgotten story is how the destruction and painfully slow reconstruction of the Iraq state is occurring against the backdrop of a deteriorating natural environment.

Over two years of drought have seriously dented what was already a marginalised and underfunded agriculture sector. Iraq is a largely desert country with an average of only four to just over six-and-a-half inches of rainfall a year; only 13% of its land is arable. Traditionally, agriculture has been the second largest employer behind the oil sector, yet the impact of years of sanctions followed by the 2003 war has compromised the central state's ability to contest the upstream damming of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers by Syria and Turkey.

Despite World Bank opposition, Turkey is proceeding with large scale dam building as part of its "south-eastern Anatolia project", involving the construction of 22 irrigation dams and 19 hydroelectric plants. The subsequent reduction in river flows in Iraq led a recently emboldened Baghdad parliament to pass a resolution last May urging the government to demand a greater share of water resources from neighbours. However, with internal issues still volatile (over 400 civilians died in June) the Iraqi state is in no real position to exert effective pressure on its neighbours.

The consequences of the upstream damming of Iraq's rivers, when compounded with a general trend towards the reduction in rainfall entering the two river basins, is having a severe impact on the Iraqi breadbasket's ability to feed its population. The World Food Programme estimates that some 930,000 people are currently food-insecure in Iraq, with a further 6.4 million at risk of becoming food-insecure in the event of the failure of the Public Distribution System (PDS). Resettlement of internally displaced refugees and the potential return of the millions of Iraqis from Jordan and Syria all have the potential to place a further burden on this fragile system. Adam L Silverman, who worked as a social science adviser for the US army human terrain teams in 2008, noted that lack of river discharge leads to "ongoing soil erosion that leads to further desertification and increased heat and dust storms, which has a measurable negative impact on the quality of life of the Iraqis". Reuters reported that the sandstorms that delayed Biden's trip led to several deaths and "hundreds of Iraqis seeking medical help after one of the worst sandstorms in living memory stretched beyond a week, choking throats, clogging eyes and afflicting asthma sufferers in particular".

Desertification and worsening sandstorms are forcing a flight of population to the cities. The consequences of this urbanisation place more pressure on the Baghdad's government's limited capacity. Indeed, this month the Red Cross reported noticeable increases in the numbers of Baghdad beggars, all part of the hidden consequences that a battered Iraqi society will take years to recover from.

The recent oil concession conferences signal the acceleration of a process that could have larger ramifications for the Iraqi environment. Poorly maintained and low-quality oil infrastructure and gas flaring are already huge environmental problems, with flaring estimates of 600m cubic feet a day making Iraq the fourth-worst culprit in the world. Iraq is home to an estimated 9% of the world's crude oil supply, a fact that led many of the world's biggest oil companies to attend the July Baghdad contract bidding conference, yet with focus on the levels of nationalisation, environmental protection measures may lose out in the rush to increase output.

Behind the violence, the drying rivers, the expanding deserts and the burgeoning cities are forgotten issues that may have crucial roles to play in shaping the direction of a beleaguered Iraq.
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About this articleClose Iraq's forgotten crisis | James DenselowThis article was first published on guardian.co.uk at 15.00 BST on Saturday 18 July 2009. It was last updated at 15.00 BST on Saturday 18 July 2009. Most viewed on guardian.co.uk24 hours 7 days Most talked about 24 hours1. Ashes: England v Australia - day two as it happened | Rob Smyth and Andy Bull 2. Ashes: England v Australia - day three as it happened | Sean Ingle and Rob Smyth 3. Pepper-spray defence means South Africa robbers face loss of balance at cash machines 4. The Joy of Six: Great team goals | Rob Smyth 5. Swarms of carnivorous giant flying squid terrorise southern Californian coast More top stories 7 days1. Ashes: England v Australia - day two as it happened | Rob Smyth and Andy Bull 2. Ashes: England v Australia - day five as it happened | Rob Smyth 3. Ashes: England v Australia - day one as it happened | Andy Bull and Rob Smyth 4. Ashes: England v Australia - day three as it happened | Sean Ingle and Rob Smyth 5. Twitter is not for teens, Morgan Stanley told by 15-year-old expert More top stories Most talked about

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    2Iraq's forgotten crisis Empty Re: Iraq's forgotten crisis Sun Jul 19, 2009 6:39 am

    OWL



    It's a whole other world over there...isn't it? I suspect there may be some water wars or debates or something of the like, in the future.

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