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This week marks the end of the dollar’s reign as the world’s reserve currency.

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mocha

mocha

Author: Chris Hedges
Link: http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/...re_is_bankrupt


This week marks the end of the dollar’s reign as the world’s reserve currency. It marks the start of a terrible period of economic and political decline in the United States. And it signals the last gasp of the American imperium. That’s over. It is not coming back. And what is to come will be very, very painful.

Barack Obama, and the criminal class on Wall Street, aided by a corporate media that continues to peddle fatuous gossip and trash talk as news while we endure the greatest economic crisis in our history, may have fooled us, but the rest of the world knows we are bankrupt. And these nations are damned if they are going to continue to prop up an inflated dollar and sustain the massive federal budget deficits, swollen to over $2 trillion, which fund America’s imperial expansion in Eurasia and our system of casino capitalism. They have us by the throat. They are about to squeeze.

There are meetings being held Monday and Tuesday in Yekaterinburg, Russia, (formerly Sverdlovsk) among Chinese President Hu Jintao, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and other top officials of the six-nation Shanghai Cooperation Organization. The United States, which asked to attend, was denied admittance. Watch what happens there carefully. The gathering is, in the words of economist Michael Hudson, “the most important meeting of the 21st century so far.”

It is the first formal step by our major trading partners to replace the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. If they succeed, the dollar will dramatically plummet in value, the cost of imports, including oil, will skyrocket, interest rates will climb and jobs will hemorrhage at a rate that will make the last few months look like boom times. State and federal services will be reduced or shut down for lack of funds. The United States will begin to resemble the Weimar Republic or Zimbabwe. Obama, endowed by many with the qualities of a savior, will suddenly look pitiful, inept and weak. And the rage that has kindled a handful of shootings and hate crimes in the past few weeks will engulf vast segments of a disenfranchised and bewildered working and middle class. The people of this class will demand vengeance, radical change, order and moral renewal, which an array of proto-fascists, from the Christian right to the goons who disseminate hate talk on Fox News, will assure the country they will impose.

I called Hudson, who has an article in Monday’s Financial Times called “The Yekaterinburg Turning Point: De-Dollarization and the Ending of America’s Financial-Military Hegemony.” “Yekaterinburg,” Hudson writes, “may become known not only as the death place of the czars but of the American empire as well.” His article is worth reading, along with John Lanchester’s disturbing exposé of the world’s banking system, titled “It’s Finished,” which appeared in the May 28 issue of the London Review of Books.

“This means the end of the dollar,” Hudson told me. “It means China, Russia, India, Pakistan, Iran are forming an official financial and military area to get America out of Eurasia. The balance-of-payments deficit is mainly military in nature. Half of America’s discretionary spending is military. The deficit ends up in the hands of foreign banks, central banks. They don’t have any choice but to recycle the money to buy U.S. government debt. The Asian countries have been financing their own military encirclement. They have been forced to accept dollars that have no chance of being repaid. They are paying for America’s military aggression against them. They want to get rid of this.”

China, as Hudson points out, has already struck bilateral trade deals with Brazil and Malaysia to denominate their trade in China’s yuan rather than the dollar, pound or euro. Russia promises to begin trading in the ruble and local currencies. The governor of China’s central bank has openly called for the abandonment of the dollar as reserve currency, suggesting in its place the use of the International Monetary Fund’s Special Drawing Rights. What the new system will be remains unclear, but the flight from the dollar has clearly begun. The goal, in the words of the Russian president, is to build a “multipolar world order” which will break the economic and, by extension, military domination by the United States. China is frantically spending its dollar reserves to buy factories and property around the globe so it can unload its U.S. currency. China is frantically spending its dollar reserves to buy factories and property around the globe so it can unload its U.S. currency. This is why Aluminum Corp. of China made so many major concessions in the failed attempt to salvage its $19.5 billion alliance with the Rio Tinto mining concern in Australia. It desperately needs to shed its dollars.

“China is trying to get rid of all the dollars they can in a trash-for-resource deal,” Hudson said. “They will give the dollars to countries willing to sell off their resources since America refuses to sell any of its high-tech industries, even Unocal, to the yellow peril. It realizes these dollars are going to be worthless pretty quickly.”

The architects of this new global exchange realize that if they break the dollar they also break America’s military domination. Our military spending cannot be sustained without this cycle of heavy borrowing. The official U.S. defense budget for fiscal year 2008 is $623 billion, before we add on things like nuclear research. The next closest national military budget is China’s, at $65 billion, according to the Central Intelligence Agency.

There are three categories of the balance-of-payment deficits. America imports more than it exports. This is trade. Wall Street and American corporations buy up foreign companies. This is capital movement. The third and most important balance-of-payment deficit for the past 50 years has been Pentagon spending abroad. It is primarily military spending that has been responsible for the balance-of-payments deficit for the last five decades. Look at table five in the Balance of Payments Report, published in the Survey of Current Business quarterly, and check under military spending. There you can see the deficit.

To fund our permanent war economy, we have been flooding the world with dollars. The foreign recipients turn the dollars over to their central banks for local currency. The central banks then have a problem. If a central bank does not spend the money in the United States then the exchange rate against the dollar will go up. This will penalize exporters. This has allowed America to print money without restraint to buy imports and foreign companies, fund our military expansion and ensure that foreign nations like China continue to buy our treasury bonds. This cycle appears now to be over. Once the dollar cannot flood central banks and no one buys our treasury bonds, our empire collapses. The profligate spending on the military, some $1 trillion when everything is counted, will be unsustainable.

“We will have to finance our own military spending,” Hudson warned, “and the only way to do this will be to sharply cut back wage rates. The class war is back in business. Wall Street understands that. This is why it had Bush and Obama give it $10 trillion in a huge rip-off so it can have enough money to survive.”

The desperate effort to borrow our way out of financial collapse has promoted a level of state intervention unseen since World War II. It has also led us into uncharted territory.

“We have in effect had to declare war to get us out of the hole created by our economic system,” Lanchester wrote in the London Review of Books. “There is no model or precedent for this, and no way to argue that it’s all right really, because under such-and-such a model of capitalism ... there is no such model. It isn’t supposed to work like this, and there is no road-map for what’s happened.”

The cost of daily living, from buying food to getting medical care, will become difficult for all but a few as the dollar plunges. States and cities will see their pension funds drained and finally shut down. The government will be forced to sell off infrastructure, including roads and transport, to private corporations. We will be increasingly charged by privatized utilities—think Enron—for what was once regulated and subsidized. Commercial and private real estate will be worth less than half its current value. The negative equity that already plagues 25 percent of American homes will expand to include nearly all property owners. It will be difficult to borrow and impossible to sell real estate unless we accept massive losses. There will be block after block of empty stores and boarded-up houses. Foreclosures will be epidemic. There will be long lines at soup kitchens and many, many homeless. Our corporate-controlled media, already banal and trivial, will work overtime to anesthetize us with useless gossip, spectacles, sex, gratuitous violence, fear and tawdry junk politics. America will be composed of a large dispossessed underclass and a tiny empowered oligarchy that will run a ruthless and brutal system of neo-feudalism from secure compounds. Those who resist will be silenced, many by force. We will pay a terrible price, and we will pay this price soon, for the gross malfeasance of our power elite.

OWL



I hope we have a little time to prepare. Years would do. LOL. I've long been a student of the bible and these 'type' events are likely. Hate to see it though.
Thanks Mocha! Neutral

Just_AL

Just_AL

[b]Whew, that is not good. I know it's an opinion article but sure has a lot of truth in it. I'm with Owl, I hope we have a little more time to prepare. If we could hurry up and RV I'd like to set up a self sufficient farm.

retired2934

retired2934

I will move to bahamas.....like the terrorist
Crying or Very sad

windreader1



This is really a doom and gloom article. I have to say, however, that I do not agree with most of it. Here are a few articles that provide a different viewpoint.

IMF Bond Sales Could Lift Dollar
Contrary to popular belief, when BRIC countries buy IMF bonds the dollar should get a boost.
If Brazil, China and Russia follow through on recent pledges to buy International Monetary Fund bonds, their actions won't actually hurt the dollar, says Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics in Valhalla, NY. These purchases could even give the dollar a lift.
Before Brazil, China, India and Russia, the so-called BRIC countries, met at a summit on Tuesday, Chinese and Russian officials criticized the dollar’s position as the world’s reserve currency and bemoaned their reliance on the greenback. All four countries reportedly plan to buy bonds from the International Monetary Fund denominated in Special Drawing Rights, the IMF’s basket of dollars, yen and other countries’ currencies (see "Economies Look Beyond Dollar"). Earlier this year, members of China's finance team suggested that SDRs could eventually become a rival reserve currency.
Dollar-denominated assets make up an estimated 64% of the world’s foreign reserves. Buying the bonds would help the IMF raise cash for its aid programs and diversify the countries’ bank reserves by adding the drawing rights to their holdings (see "When Currencies Falter"). But that alone wouldn’t hurt the dollar, because the transactions would actually diminish the supply of dollars outside the U.S., Weinberg says.
How’s that? Russia, for instance, has announced that it will buy $10 billion in IMF bonds and sell $10 billion of its dollar holdings--that is, U.S. Treasury bonds--to pay for them. Once the central bank lines up the transaction, the buyer hands over dollars for the Treasury bonds, pulling them out of circulation. The central bank then exchanges the $10 billion in dollars for the IMF bonds. The IMF drops the dollars into its reserve vault, where they could be used as backing for loans denominated in drawing rights. That’s $10 billion in greenbacks no longer floating around.
“It’s like the Hotel California,” he says. “Dollars go in, and they never get out.”
Think of the IMF bond sales as a massive dollar mop up, Weinberg says. Soak up some of the world’s supply of dollars and the price should rise.

“If the IMF decides to issue the bonds this summer, we would look for the dollar to appreciate on all cross rates, not just against the currencies of the central banks that buy the most of them,” he wrote in a recent research note.
If the trend catches on and more central banks sell off their dollar holdings, it would put pressure on Treasury yields to rise. Higher yields make Treasury bonds more attractive and would give another boost to the dollar’s value.
http://www.forbes.com/2009/06/16/dollar-sdr-bric-reserve-markets-bonds.html


BRIC demands more clout, steers clear of dollar talk
Tue Jun 16, 2009 4:24pm EDT
YEKATERINBURG, Russia (Reuters) - The leaders of the world's biggest emerging markets demanded a greater say in the global financial system on Tuesday at their first summit, but steered clear of any assault on the U.S. dollar's dominance.

Brazil Real Ends Weaker As Reserve Currency Change Talk Wilts
Tue, Jun 16 2009, 20:07 GM
Brazil Real Ends Weaker As Reserve Currency Change Talk Wilts

RIO DE JANEIRO (Dow Jones)--The Brazilian real closed weaker against the U.S. dollar as the greenback strengthened globally Tuesday, and talk of a change in the reserve currency came to naught.
http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?StoryId=5283a1db-570e-496a-beed-098bb2b7ed59

Russia, China seek greater international clout
By VLADIMIR ISACHENKOV, Associated Press Writer Vladimir Isachenkov, Associated Press Writer – Tue Jun 16, 3:45 pm ET
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090616/ap_on_re_eu/eu_russia_summit_talks_22

YEKATERINBURG, Russia – The leaders of four major emerging economies — Russia, China, Brazil and India — apparently failed Tuesday to reach consensus on reducing the dominance of the U.S. dollar despite growing calls for an alternative global reserve currency

mocha

mocha

Thanks Wind!

Guest


Guest

windreader1 wrote:This is really a doom and gloom article. I have to say, however, that I do not agree with most of it. Here are a few articles that provide a different viewpoint.

IMF Bond Sales Could Lift Dollar
Contrary to popular belief, when BRIC countries buy IMF bonds the dollar should get a boost.
If Brazil, China and Russia follow through on recent pledges to buy International Monetary Fund bonds, their actions won't actually hurt the dollar, says Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics in Valhalla, NY. These purchases could even give the dollar a lift.
Before Brazil, China, India and Russia, the so-called BRIC countries, met at a summit on Tuesday, Chinese and Russian officials criticized the dollar’s position as the world’s reserve currency and bemoaned their reliance on the greenback. All four countries reportedly plan to buy bonds from the International Monetary Fund denominated in Special Drawing Rights, the IMF’s basket of dollars, yen and other countries’ currencies (see "Economies Look Beyond Dollar"). Earlier this year, members of China's finance team suggested that SDRs could eventually become a rival reserve currency.
Dollar-denominated assets make up an estimated 64% of the world’s foreign reserves. Buying the bonds would help the IMF raise cash for its aid programs and diversify the countries’ bank reserves by adding the drawing rights to their holdings (see "When Currencies Falter"). But that alone wouldn’t hurt the dollar, because the transactions would actually diminish the supply of dollars outside the U.S., Weinberg says.
How’s that? Russia, for instance, has announced that it will buy $10 billion in IMF bonds and sell $10 billion of its dollar holdings--that is, U.S. Treasury bonds--to pay for them. Once the central bank lines up the transaction, the buyer hands over dollars for the Treasury bonds, pulling them out of circulation. The central bank then exchanges the $10 billion in dollars for the IMF bonds. The IMF drops the dollars into its reserve vault, where they could be used as backing for loans denominated in drawing rights. That’s $10 billion in greenbacks no longer floating around.
“It’s like the Hotel California,” he says. “Dollars go in, and they never get out.”
Think of the IMF bond sales as a massive dollar mop up, Weinberg says. Soak up some of the world’s supply of dollars and the price should rise.

“If the IMF decides to issue the bonds this summer, we would look for the dollar to appreciate on all cross rates, not just against the currencies of the central banks that buy the most of them,” he wrote in a recent research note.
If the trend catches on and more central banks sell off their dollar holdings, it would put pressure on Treasury yields to rise. Higher yields make Treasury bonds more attractive and would give another boost to the dollar’s value.
http://www.forbes.com/2009/06/16/dollar-sdr-bric-reserve-markets-bonds.html


BRIC demands more clout, steers clear of dollar talk
Tue Jun 16, 2009 4:24pm EDT
YEKATERINBURG, Russia (Reuters) - The leaders of the world's biggest emerging markets demanded a greater say in the global financial system on Tuesday at their first summit, but steered clear of any assault on the U.S. dollar's dominance.

Brazil Real Ends Weaker As Reserve Currency Change Talk Wilts
Tue, Jun 16 2009, 20:07 GM
Brazil Real Ends Weaker As Reserve Currency Change Talk Wilts

RIO DE JANEIRO (Dow Jones)--The Brazilian real closed weaker against the U.S. dollar as the greenback strengthened globally Tuesday, and talk of a change in the reserve currency came to naught.
http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?StoryId=5283a1db-570e-496a-beed-098bb2b7ed59

Russia, China seek greater international clout
By VLADIMIR ISACHENKOV, Associated Press Writer Vladimir Isachenkov, Associated Press Writer – Tue Jun 16, 3:45 pm ET
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090616/ap_on_re_eu/eu_russia_summit_talks_22

YEKATERINBURG, Russia – The leaders of four major emerging economies — Russia, China, Brazil and India — apparently failed Tuesday to reach consensus on reducing the dominance of the U.S. dollar despite growing calls for an alternative global reserve currency

And here is one more!!!
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601083&sid=aKypYCRB22fM

Guest


Guest

mocha,

Yosano Says Japan Has Absolute Trust in U.S. Dollar (Update1)


By Toru Fujioka


June 16 (Bloomberg) -- Japanese Finance Minister Kaoru Yosano said the government has absolute trust in the U.S. dollar after a report showed global demand for American assets slowed.

Japan’s confidence in U.S. Treasuries and the dollar “is absolutely unshakable,” Yosano said at a news conference in Tokyo today. “I have faith in the U.S. dollar’s status as a reserve currency.”

International purchases of American financial assets grew at a slower pace in April as China, Japan and Russia pared demand for Treasuries, underscoring the danger of U.S. reliance on foreigners to finance its fiscal deficit. Total net purchases of long-term equities, notes and bonds rose a net $11.2 billion, compared with buying of $55.4 billion in March, the Treasury said yesterday in Washington.


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601083&sid=arWZqW1sfNII

mocha

mocha

thanks Dry!

windreader1



Thanks Dry, just more confirmation that everything is not doom and gloom

Just_AL

Just_AL

Whew! I feel better now...Thanks everyone!

Guest


Guest

GREAT THREAD!!!

I've been following the world economy for a long time...."think outside the box"....The battle of the dollar? who will win?

The chess game goes on.............

Thanks for the great read ya'll

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