I Get By With Alittle Help From My Friends....
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.
I Get By With Alittle Help From My Friends....

Dinar Outcast


You are not connected. Please login or register

As Congress battles over payroll tax cut extension, government shutdown looms

3 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

MrsCK



As Congress battles over payroll tax cut extension, government shutdown looms
By Rachel Rose Hartman | The Ticket – 6 hrs ago

It's brinkmanship time yet again in Congress as lawmakers attempt to close out the year with votes to continue a payroll tax cut, extend long-term jobless benefits, and fund the government to avoid yet another shutdown.

Lawmakers on both sides of the aisle would like to pass some version of all of these measures, but discrepancies over how exactly to make that happen has gummed up progress in Congress. And both sides are using votes on the measures as bargaining chips.

Take for example Tuesday night's House passage of a payroll tax cut extension: what appeared to be progress was mostly a symbolic gesture since Republicans knew full well that Senate Democrats had vowed to reject the Republican-backed measure and President Obama had threatened to veto the bill. Many Democrats, including the president, objected to add-ons to create the Keystone XL oil pipeline and place new restrictions--including drug testing--on an unemployment benefits extension.

"Why are we wasting precious time?" Democratic Rep. Jim McGovern (Mass.) asked on the House floor prior to the vote.

On Wednesday, Republicans hit back, accusing Democrats of playing politics.

"This isn't just irresponsible, it's reckless," Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said on the House floor Tuesday while discussing the payroll tax cut bill.

But as the high stakes fight plays out in Congress, the pressing issue of funding the government is ticking down to a Dec. 16 deadline.

So where does that leave us?

Below, we run through the major tasks remaining for Congress in 2011 and the ways in which they've been linked:

Payroll tax cut extension
A measure that lowers the Social Security tax rate from 6.2 percent to 4.2 percent for an estimated 160 million Americans will expire Dec. 31 without an extension. The White House estimates that the increase back to a 6.2 percent rate will cost a middle-class American family an average of $1,000 next year. Both parties would like to give Americans this cut--perhaps even reduce the rate further--but they disagree over how to pay for it.

Democrats are pushing an income surtax on millionaires and billionaires to cover the extension, but Republicans reject that plan, citing their pledge not to raise taxes. They are instead proposing a pay freeze and increased pension costs for federal workers, raising Medicare costs for seniors earning over $80,000, and other provisions to make up the funds. The bipartisan desire for this extension has made it into a major bargaining chip for both parties as they tackle the other items on their schedule.

Long-term unemployment compensation extension
If Congress fails to reauthorize extended benefits for the long-term unemployed by Dec. 31, an estimated 1.8 million Americans will stop receiving benefits the first week of January. Additionally, unemployed Americans who reach "long-term" status in 2012 will then see their benefits run out sooner.

Republicans included unemployment benefit extension language in their payroll tax cut extension bill passed by the House Wednesday, but Democrats rejected the measure's new restrictions on long-term unemployment compensation including requiring drug testing for applicants and reducing the time frame for eligibility from 99 to 59 weeks of unemployment.

Reforming Medicare payments (the "doc fix")
Lawmakers on both sides of the aisle for years have been blocking a change--the Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) formula--in how physicians are paid for services provided under Medicare. The adjustment was first enacted in 1997.

For the past several years, Congress has voted to delay the cuts right before they would take effect. If Congress fails to delay its implementation again this year, they will go into effect Jan. 1, resulting in an estimated 27.4 percent reduction in physician pay. Congress wouldn't have to engage in this annual blockage if they changed the formula into something both parties support--but that would require much more time and effort than simply delaying the change. Republicans included language related to a "doc fix" in their payroll tax cut extension passed by the House Wednesday, but, as we've noted, Democrats are vowing to block its passage.

Funding the government
Looming over all of these tasks before Congress is a potential government shutdown: A stopgap measure to fund the government expires Dec. 16.
(Congress has brought us to the brink of government shutdown several times this year.) Congressional leaders say they have a $1 trillion "megabus" omnibus bill in the works that would wrap together multiple necessary appropriations bills to keep areas of the government operational.

But the major unknown is whether this omnibus bill will be held hostage and used as a bargaining chip in the battle over the payroll tax cut extension or any of the other pending legislative battles. Democrats have told the press they don't want Republicans to leave Washington for the holiday break without forcing them to pass a payroll cut extension. Republicans are accusing Democrats of holding the government hostage to get their way.

gente

gente

CK, Wind, Pan, and all the rest, thanks for the blue pill....as sour as it is, I'd rather be awake.

Panhead

Panhead
Admin

here's more.....

Threat Of A Government Shutdown

Daily Market Commentary for December 15, 2011

Top Democratic and Republican Senate leaders indicated they were closer to a deal that would avoid closing many federal operations with the threat of a government shutdown looming on Friday. (read more at Millennium-Traders.Com)
http://www.millennium-traders.com/ne...ommentary.aspx

Per the Labor Department, first-time applications for unemployment compensation declined by 19,000 to a seasonally adjusted 366,000, putting jobless claims at the lowest level seen since the middle of the 2007-2009 recession. The number of Americans who filed requests for jobless benefits fell last week to the lowest level since May 2008, indicating that a fragile U.S. labor market continues to heal. From a 2011 peak of 478,000 in late April jobless claims have declined gradually and jobless claims have fallen below 400,000 which is a level historically associated with an improving labor market in five of the past six weeks. Over the past month, the average of new jobless claims fell by 6,500 to 387,750 striking the lowest level since July 2008. The monthly average is seen as a more accurate gauge of labor trends because it reduces volatility in the week-to-week data. However, jobless claims reflects only the number of people who lose jobs, not those who find one which is not an imprecise gauge of hiring trends. The steady decline in jobless claims will soothe the concerns of investors as well as the Federal Reserve, which is still considering additional moves to boost the economy. On average, the economy has gained 143,000 jobs over the past three months even after hiring nearly ground to a halt in early summer. For the month of November, the official jobless rate stood at 8.6% however it is actually closer to 16% when including people who can only find part-time work as well as discouraged job seekers who’ve recently stopped looking. For week ended December 3, continuing claims [reported with a one-week lag] or the number of people who continue to receive benefits, rose by 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 3.60 million. For week ended November 26, nearly 7.45 million people received some kind of state or federal benefit which is up 874,670 from previous week, with total claims reported with a two-week lag.

Labor Department reported U.S. wholesale costs rose modestly during November as the price of food, mostly for vegetables and chicken, increased. The Producer Price Index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.3% last month, mostly driven by higher food prices which rose 1.0% last month. The cost of dry and fresh vegetables jumped 11.5%, while the price of young chickens climbed 8% to mark the biggest increase in five years. Energy costs rose a scant 0.1% after falling 1.4% in October. Core wholesale prices rose 0.1%, excluding food and energy categories. The core PPI is viewed by the Federal Reserve as a more accurate gauge of long-term inflationary pressure because the price of food and energy are volatile month to month. Wholesale prices have risen 5.7% over the past 12 month with the smallest year-over-year increase since March. Core PPI prices have climbed a lesser 2.9% in the past 12 months which is the lowest increase since June 2009. A decline in the price of oil and other essential commodities that peaked in early summer attributed to the pullback in year-over-year wholesale costs. It is anticipated that we could see an ease in coming months for wholesale prices which could potentially translate into lower prices for retail goods and services.

The Federal Reserve reported that industrial production fell during November on a sharp drop in the automotive segment along with other declines in factory output. The U.S. central bank said industrial production declined 0.2% during November, dragged lower by a sharp 3.4% reduction in the output of motor vehicles and parts. Excluding autos, manufacturing output fell 0.2%, reflecting declines in wood products, electrical equipment, textile and product mills, apparel and leather, printing and chemicals. Mining output rose 0.1% and utilities output rose 0.2%. October’s industrial production data were unrevised by the Fed with readings from June, August and September revised higher and July’s industrial production data was revised lower.

During October, foreign investors were buyers of a net $2.6 billion of long-term U.S. securities striking the lowest amount since June and own from $65.6 billion in September. Overall, foreigners bought a net $4.8 billion of long-term U.S. assets in October which was down from $68.3 billion in September. Foreign investors were net buyers of $7.5 billion of Treasurys in October down from $84.4 billion in September. Compared with $7.2 billion in September, they bought a net $3.7 billion of government agency bonds in October. Foreigners demand for corporate bonds remains virtually nonexistent. Sales of Treasurys directly attributed to Mainland China were $14.2 billion in October with China frequently acquiring Treasurys through firms in other countries. Foreign-based investors bought a net $2.9 billion in U.S. equities in the month. During October, the United Kingdom was a seller of $13.2 billion of Treasurys and Japan was a buyer of $22.2 billion.

Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank reported a sign of solid growth in the factory sector was as New York and Philadelphia regional Fed manufacturing surveys came in stronger in December, now at their highest levels seen since late spring. Phili Fed business outlook index rose to 10.3 from 3.6 in November - highest level seen since April. The Empire state index rose to 9.5 in December from 0.6 in November. Almost one-third of firms in the New York region said business got better in December. The future business index rose 13 points to 52.33.

In November, Capacity Utilization fell to 77.8% from an upwardly revised 78.0% in October; Capacity Utilization has clung to a narrow 0.5% band since July.

Christine Lagarde, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund said European debt crisis is escalating and there must be a global response to resolve it. Lagarde said the crisis must be resolved by all categories of countries, not just one group. Lagarde also made the remark at an event at the State Department focusing on increasing the number of women in public service that the global economic outlook looks “quite gloomy.”


Sign up today for a one week trial to our Day Trading Rooms for stocks, futures or forex plus, Weekly Swing Trades for stocks.

Detailed historic performance available on our Market Commentary section.

Monthly Trading Lesson provides new trading subject every month.

Opt-in to our free Weekly Market News sent via email, the first trading day of the week. Includes recap of markets from previous week as well as active stocks plus, see what is ahead for the upcoming trading week.

Register now for our Free Chat Rooms - penny stocks, options, stocks, futures and forex! Chat with other traders during off-peak market hours.

Follow us now on Twitter and join us on Facebook.

Thanks for reading
Millennium-Traders.Com
http://www.millennium-traders.com

Sponsored content



Back to top  Message [Page 1 of 1]

Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum